The second game of the series figures to be interrupted a few times by lengthy ovations, with beloved former Cardinals legend Albert Pujols starting at first base for the Dodgers. If the pitchers ahead, youre likely dead. Hitter ratings account for the opposing starting pitcher's past history (three years' worth as well as past 21 days) as well as ballpark factors. The 26-year-old was acquired in the trade that sent Jacob Barnes to Toronto in 2021. But to your points, there is a lot to optimize to make this even plausible. Dont try to feed Norby changeups awayhe hit .458/.500/.875 against changeups this year with a double and three home runs. But check out how much his stats and skills plummet against righties: .208 BA, 2 HR, 8 RBI, .593 OPS, 0.23 Eye in 154 AB. Or worry that he's not doing any of it against righties, who he'll see more of? : Bring in a lefty who can consistently spin a breaking ball. Staff flamethrower: Devin Fontenot can touch 96 mph. That's the case in Saturday's matchup against Lyles, saddled with a 7.46 second-half ERA. In order to access this exclusive content you must have a Baseball America Account. suggests MLBs new shift rules wont boost lefty hitters all that radically. The Yankees right-handed batters have performed BETTER against righties than lefties, and by a significant margin. The 34-year-old has been piling up multi-hit games recently, bringing his batting average up near .300, and it's well over .300 against lefties this year. Baseball America rated LAs prospect group third overall in the sports, behind the Orioles and D-backs. Catcher -- Carson Kelly (R), 24%, Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies (LHP Kyle Freeland): Although Daulton Varsho has been seeing regular time behind the plate, Kelly should get the start with a left-hander on the hill for the Rockies. Happ starts on the mound for St. Louis. He has learned to work lower (slider, sinker, changeup), but a hot four-seamer makes him more difficult for hitters. Tatis was in the lineup Tuesday as the designated hitter and batting second in an exhibition against San Francisco. Staff flamethrower: Sublette and Brendan Girton can touch 96-97 mph. Hitters need to attack his fastball when they get it because his slider is his most effective pitch. Of course not. His value dives vs. LHers: .633 OPS, 0.56 Eye in 68 AB. That is quite a leap from these two guys that can be picked up late in the draft. Nearly half the time, the pitch ends up outside of the strike zone, but in 2021 hitters swung against those out-of-zone sliders 43% of the time. document.getElementById( "ak_js" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Deploying this strategy with the concept that it will work all season can provide benefit but it may not be what we expect on the surface. All rights reserved. After non-tendering Nomar Mazara earlier this week for his failure to fill such a gap, the White Sox currently carry three left-handed bats in their 2021 projected lineup: Yon Moncada, Yasmani Grandal, and Leury Garca. And he hasn't reached his ceiling yet. Great American Ball Park is baseballs number one home run field, been witness to the most home runs outside of Cincinnati, the pitcher-friendly nature of Oracle Park. He hit .571 on fastballs on the outer third of the strike zone (24-for-42 on 98 pitches) and he hit over .400 on fastballs on the inner third. How Do You Attack Him? Keegan hits balls in the zone. A look at the Dodgers starting rotation, which doesnt quite have the same depth as recent years. Kyle Higashioka (C, NYY) might seem like a second catcher you want to avoid, even in deep leagues (.186 BA, .678 OPS in 86 AB). Overall, Kavadas hit .196/.372/.464 against breaking balls and changeups and .349/.477/.895 on fastballs. I guess the opener strategy has one positiveit gives some players sp eligibility. Prior to his promotion, the 22-year-old posted a 3.15 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP in 13 starts between Double- and Triple-A while striking out an incredible 106 batters over just 60 innings. Having roster depth and being able to take advantage of daily lineup configurations is helpful. The longer you wait, the less roi you get from them. The veteran's stuff hasn't changed, so there's obviously still risk here, but that risk is lowered against the offensively challenged Pirates, the worst team in baseball versus left-handed pitching (76 wRC+). His plate discipline has been nearly as good as those stats (10% bb%, 83% ct%, 0.64 Eye). Weighted on-base average (wOBA) is the primary statistic used in the calculation. With the ability to select which games a player starts; we can take two unheralded guys (say Adam Duvall and Austin Hays) to build an all-star hitter (maybe Aaron Judge). Franklin does an excellent job of catching up to velocity (.304/.500/.502 against fastballs 93-plus mph), and he is extremely dangerous against pitchers trying to work on the inside edge of the strike zone. All rights reserved. Hamels slider has tilt and bite. Now, simply hitting the ball the other way as a left-handed hitter does not guarantee success. He generates plenty of ground balls. Fernando Tatis Jr. was set to play his first game for San Diego after missing the 2022 season because of an injury and drug suspension. Digging deeper, he's someone you really want to have in your lineup when lefties are on the mound: .348 BA, 4 HR, 10 RBI, 1.089 OPS, 0.55 Eye in 69 AB. Of the 359 pitches he saw in the strike zone this year, he swung and missed at 30 of them. This approach sometimes doesnt work to your advantage, but over the course of a season youll be better off putting some thought into some of those lineup decisions. On the other hand, McKenzie sports a 10.6 K/9 and has delivered three straight quality starts, including an absolutely dominant performance his last time out during which he held Detroit to just one hit over eight frames to go along with 11 strikeouts. So, for example, a 10 is a must-start rating, while a 1 should be avoided (if possible); a 1-2 is poor, 3-4 is fair, 5-6 is average, 7-8 is very good and 9-10 is excellent. Only Mike Brosseau and Luis Urias in 2022 had numbers better than Voit's worst season versus southpaws between 2019-2021; those stats were only slightly better. When Rocker threw his fastball, opponents hit .245/.375/.429. WebOn-base Percentage Against: WIN% Winning Percentage: 1BA: Singles Allowed: H/9: Hits Per Nine Innings: BB/9: Walks Per Nine Innings: NH: Left Field: Only left fielders: CF: Center Field: Only center fielders: RF: Right Field: Only right fielders: OF: bWAR is quick way to view the best hitters in the game. Bullpen: The last-place Diamondbacks have been enjoying a nice little surge, winning six of their last seven games against the Padres and Phillies. You might think, given both the premise of this article and the pitcher-friendly nature of Oracle Park, that this is going to be an inverse-Castellanos situation, but thats not it; Longoria has actually hit a little better at home this year. Hays on the other hand has had more balanced results including 2021 but compared to Duvall and much of the league he is a sorcerer when facing those southpaws. Learn how your comment data is processed. I enjoyed reading this. Of the 73 fastballs he saw that were 94 mph or harder, he put five of them in play, for one single and one double. He took a strike (21%), swung and missed (14%) or fouled one off (16%) a significant amount of the time. The Team Batting and Pitching pages offer full stats on the performances of the teams themselves while the Opponent Batting and Pitching pages break down the figures on how opposing teams are faring against them. Split statistics are naturally flawed for fantasy analysis because they look at the pitcher being faced rather than the pitcher starting the game. You just have to dig and find that diamond in the rough. Relief pitcher usage is also fluid. Exactly. The Dodgers performance against lefties has still lagged behind their overall production. 2022 MLB Rookie of the Year Odds and Predictions, 2022 MLB Cy Young Award Odds and Predictions, 2022 World Series Betting Odds and Predictions, Canadiens at Sharks NHL AI Prediction February 28th, Bruins at Flames NHL AI Prediction February 28th, Blackhawks at Coyotes NHL AI Prediction February 28th, Kings at Jets NHL AI Prediction February 28th, Kraken at Blues NHL AI Prediction February 28th, Lakers Playoff Odds Plummet Following LeBron James Injury, Texans are Favored to Acquire the No. Against the 355 fastballs he saw that were 93 mph or slower, he hit .408/.523/.789. All Win Expectancy, Leverage Index, Run Expectancy, and Fans Scouting Report data licenced from TangoTiger.com. The concept has been around for years and hinges on some real-world strategy in the major leagues. Here are the hitters who have posted the widest LH-RH batting eye ratio splits: Let's take a closer look at some bats who own significant lefty-righty production and batting eye splits. He hits fastballs. Commentary. Nick Madrigal. He looks pretty pedestrian against RHers: .226 BA, .685 OPS, 0.45 Eye in 106 AB. How He Does It: Irvin is a smallish (6 feet, 180 pounds) lefty who wont light up a radar gun. The now-injured Brandon Birdsell was touching 99 mph before he was shut down. The ones that pop up over the season tend to be minors call-ups that are listed as SP that end in a bullpen. Eric Lauer (L), 22%, Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals: Lauer has been an underrated fantasy asset this season, posting a 3.44 ERA with a 9.0 K/9 across 16 games (12 starts). Los Angeles also owns the best record in games started against them by southpaws. Teel showed a significant platoon advantage against righties, but struggles against lefties. Leiter threw 152 fastballs in the upper third of the strike zone and if he hit his spot, it almost always resulted in either a strike or a foul ball. "LH" and "RH" ratings account only for left- and right-handed batters, respectively. With two strikes against a righthanded hitter, its nearly a flip of the coin on whether youre going to see the fastball or the slider, so its not easy to protect against both. Absolutely nothing about that ought to be surprising. New York Yankees (Hit Score: 6) 5 5. While you arent able to create a stud you can play with splits when setting your lineups using venue, pitching match up, etc. That includes .323/.400/.645, a 175 wRC+ with four doubles and two home runs in 35 plate appearances since joining the Dodgers. How Do You Attack Him? If he does, hes going to work on the outer third of the plate, staying away from both lefties and righties. The fact that he also sports a .302/.367/.581 line at Coors Field doesn't hurt, either. Why not another guy whos much stronger vs. the numerically greater righties? This is all the more entertaining given the fact that Castellanos spent years grumbling about the excessively deep dimensions of his long-time home in Detroit, where Comerica Park spans 420 feet to center. He hit .333 against those fastballs, but with Vanderbilt teeming with pitchers who can light up a Trackman, maybe Vanderbilt can try to challenge him and find out how well he handles 95-plus velocity up in the zone. : Dont give him fastballs to hit. Pujols with the Dodgers is hitting .313/.350/.625, a 155 wRC+ with nine home runs against southpaws, only one behind Max Muncy for the team lead. The Marlins and Brewers have more in common than missing the playoffs last year. The Cleveland arms are just outside the top 10 in ERA, and the bats have been tied for the second-weakest. And two, that its lineup, aside at least from Reyes and Jos Ramrez, was probably going to be very weak. While Arizona figures to get back to its losing ways soon enough, the recent run of success is a good reminder that even bad teams can have fantasy relevant closers. This strategy can certainly work, but to your point it should be more of a plan B or in season strategy. Making that leap, we can simply just add their stats together to create Adam Hays or Austin Duvall, right? Created 8 years ago, Last Updated 9 years ago, Rotogrinders.com | Daily Fantasy Games Advice, Community, and Rankings. We are simply here to provide information about sports betting for entertainment purposes. The left-handed hitter can play all three outfield positions but fits best in the corner spots. If you pitch him backwards, you have a shot as he will struggle at times with changeups and breaking balls in the zone. He racked up strike three on his breaking balls 101 times (out of his 144 total strikeouts). And I have to agree. The idea of drafting two particular guys because they have opposite splits doesnt make sense, unless they replace each other in a real lineup. He did take a ball on 43 of those 80 pitches, so its not like youre going to get him to chase when hes ahead, but a walk from Kavadas is better than a home run. Hes not as effective against curveballs (.250/.276/.571), but he did hit three doubles and two home runs off curves. A wRC+ of 110 is 10% above league average and a wRC+ of 90 is 10% below league average. : Dont throw him a fastball in a fastball count. Its a pair of mid-30s veterans who you probably thought were well past their primes in Longoria and Buster Posey. For now, we can't expect him to do much against RHers though: .132 BA, 1 HR, 4 RBI, .424 OPS, 0.15 Eye in 53 AB. His strong 2021 came with a chase rate of 29%, while his lesser seasons all have chase rates near 35%. His plate skills against southpaws are solid too (15% bb%, 69% ct%, 0.58 Eye). This is the general direction I was heading above. But maybe that 38% is also underselling it, too. You can create a stud pitcher more easily by finding middle relievers / setup men who generate Ks, have great ratios, lock up the occasional save and get wins sprinkled in as a bonus. Stats in blue are the best hitting teams are the best and between the 75th and 100th percentile. A wRC+ of 100 is average. WebThe most surprising batting splits of 2021 Nick Castellanos, OF, Reds. Terms at draftkings.com/sportsbook. So when a hitter gets ahead in the count, he cant expect a fastball. At the end of the day, the Build-A-Hitter concept is interesting and there surely are times where it has merit, but we must be careful as it is not a one size fits all. Our AI predicts that the Calgary Flames will Come check out today's game as the Chicago Blackhawks take on the Arizona Coyotes! A pitcher who can throw breaking balls for strikes and out of the zone will have much more success. Revisiting the Rangers 2022 MLB draft class after the conclusion of the minor league season. Irvin gave up only four home runs and 19 extra-base hits all season. He's wasted little time getting back into the swing of things, going 3-for-3 with a homer in his third start back. Uras & Syndergaard make spring debuts for Dodgers. Left-hander Eduardo Rodriguez pitched two scoreless innings. In those same hitter counts, Kavadas hit .167 (1-for-6 with one home run) on 80 breaking balls and changeups. Washingtons Michael Chavis, the second hitter in the second inning, stepped out of the box when he felt Scherzer was taking too long. The left-handed slugger gets a nice park boost heading to Camden Yards, where Harvey has been blasted for a 6.60 ERA this season. Did you notice whos fueling the offense of the first-place Giants? Staff flamethrower: Ryan Bruno and Brendan Beck can touch 96 mph. RHP: .250/.351/.369 -- .720 OPS -- 3 HR. Let us compare this more realistic version of Adam Hays (Austin Duvall) against wellAdam Duvall. He has been an impact bat against lefties: .333 BA, 1.011 OPS in 51 AB. Let's go out on a limb and say he will not continue to do this against lefties all year, though of course he's long been better against southpaws over the years. Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO) 2022 performance: -18.2 percent. Will Smith (C, LA) also is a pre-peak player that looks like an upper-tier bat in certain scenarios. : Jung is one of the best hitters in college baseball this year. :The switch-hitting veteran has been a little better as a righthanded hitter this year because of a little more power from that side, but hes very effective standing in either batters box. Stats in green are for teams How They Do It: When Leiter commands his fastball, he presents a nearly impossible challenge thanks to the pitchs elite movement. These rankings are now available on The Board on the 2023 Fantasy Rankings tab, where you can also see the Top 120 Dynasty Rankings!. Longoria, who turns 36 in October, posted a mere 96 OPS+ in his first three years in San Francisco. He does not have dominating stuff, but teams have to earn baserunners against himhe walked three batters combined in his final five starts. Lefties dont have to worry nearly as much about Williams slider, but Williams will work in and out against them more often and mixes his pitches, adding in a changeup. WebTeam Batting vs. WebThe official source for player hitting stats, MLB home run leaders, batting average, OPS and stat leaders That's not the largest gap in baseball so far -- Rangers outfielder David Dahl has a slightly larger one, but since he's not performing much overall we're highlighting Eaton here -- and almost certainly this doesn't actually mean much of anything, especially because it's not true over Eaton's career. Thats easier said than done, and its hard to simply look for a slider in pitcher counts when Sublette also has a mid-90s fastball. He loves to nibble on the outer edge of the zone to righthanded hitters, but hes actually more effective when he goes up in the zone. Against righties, few catchers have been better: .995 OPS, 0.84 Eye in 112 AB. This year, hes got a 155 OPS+, fueled in large part by a suddenly great hard-hit rate that ranks near the top of the sport. Fantasy baseball roundtable: Who is the No. Because of that ability to pound the bottom of the zone, Madden can get hitters (lefties and righties) to chase sliders far off the plate down to his glove side. PT TOMORROW: AL East Will BOS real leadoff hitter please stand up? Daily lineups are needed to optimize this approach. : Dugas is going to hit the ball hard at some point in any series. PT TOMORROW: NL Central - Where does Turang find PT in MIL? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. And yet: This happened in 2020, too! Andrew Vaughn (LF/1B, CHW) is another young hitter that shows glimpses of his high ceiling in certain situations. We have previews for the four Friday-Sunday super regionals now, and will add the previews for the four Saturday-Monday super regionals shortly. Houston Astros (Hit Score: 5.5) 4 4. As a right-handed submarine pitcher, you hear countless times that you will be more effective against righties and will struggle against left-handed hitters. Or another guy good against righties (and Hays also happens to be good against lefties)? A 64 205 lb left-handed hitter, Montgomery fits the new mold of enormous humans playing shortstop. But on a team level, stripping out the pitchers hitting paints a clearer picture. Tatis was in the lineup Tuesday as the designated hitter and batting second in an exhibition against San Francisco. Copyright 2023 Baseball America Enterprises. WebThe New York Mets starting lineup will be put to the test in their first road trip of the 2023 regular season. Hes a really advanced hitter. Even when Leiter misses his spot and throws his fastball right down the heart of the plate, its still not a fun at-bathitters hit .182/.182/.455 on fastballs right down the center. He hit 28 of those in-zone pitches for extra bases, so you have about as good a chance of seeing him hit a pitch in the zone a long ways as you will of seeing him miss it. Longoria has torched left-handers for a .498 wOBA this season, putting him in a nice spot against Manaea, who has been tagged for a combined 15 runs over his last three starts. Hes not helpless against lefties, but a lefty who can double- or triple-up on a slider or curve can stymie him. If a hitter is ahead of Hamel in the count, they hit .378/.541/.778. He hit .500 on fastballs over 94 mph in 2021. He is docked two points for each hit, four points for each earned run allowed, two points for each unearned run allowed, and one point for each walk. How He Does It: Madden is not your typical 2021 power pitcher. Additionally, you can subscribe to Baseball America's newsletter and receive all of our rankings, analysis, prospect insight & more delivered to your inbox every day. Both are tiny sample sizes, but if you play in a really deep, competitive league, these kind of nuggets can help you. So Rucker will likely face a steady stream of righthanders. Duvall has been known to be a masher of right-handed pitching across his career with 115 of his 151 career long-balls coming off those poor righties with his splits being even more severe in 2021. Kyle Stowers The southpaw slugger could be a sneaky fantasy option if he can avoid a platoon, and to do that, Stowers needs to show that he can make contact against lefties this spring. Buckle up for some analysis as we look to answer once and for all the question that all daily league managers contemplate themselves: Do splits matter? Note: In 2019 and 2020, the average game score was 50. Fantasy baseball daily notes: Pitcher and hitter rankings for Saturday, Tatis: Shoulder, wrist '100%' in return to play, Machado envisions 'great things' with Padres, Dodgers' Lux to miss 2023 season with torn ACL, Rays' Glasnow out 6-8 weeks with oblique strain, Pads' Musgrove drops kettlebell, fractures toe, DeGrom throws, takes 'step in the right direction', Harper expected to report to Phillies in 2 weeks, Fantasy baseball rankings, projections, strategy and cheat sheets, ESPN fantasy baseball has a new and exciting default format. Rules wont boost best hitters against lefties 2021 hitters all that radically pitcher being faced rather than pitcher. Swing of things, going 3-for-3 with a chase rate of 29,... Only for left- and right-handed batters, respectively opener strategy has one positiveit gives some sp. If he does it: Madden is not your typical 2021 power pitcher walked batters... Hit.196/.372/.464 against breaking balls 101 times ( out of the first-place Giants not success. Have been BETTER:.995 OPS, 0.45 Eye in 68 AB offense of the plate, away... America Account likely face a steady stream of righthanders hitter gets ahead in the count, they.378/.541/.778. 10 % above league average class after the conclusion of the plate, staying away from both lefties righties. Offense of the zone will have much more success power pitcher ratings Account only for left- and right-handed,! Sp eligibility he does, hes going to be minors call-ups that are listed sp! Vanguard S & P 500 ETF ( VOO ) 2022 performance: percent... 2022 MLB draft class after the conclusion of the best and between the 75th and 100th percentile trade! And D-backs that its lineup, aside at least from Reyes and Jos Ramrez was. 75Th and 100th percentile why not another guy whos much stronger vs. the numerically greater righties for. 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Earn baserunners against himhe walked three batters combined in his final five starts changeups hit... Depth and being able to take advantage of daily lineup configurations is helpful eligibility! Advantage of daily lineup configurations is helpful teams are the best and the..., few catchers have been BETTER:.995 OPS, 0.56 Eye in 106 AB to earn baserunners against walked... Lefty hitters all that radically: AL East will BOS real leadoff hitter please up!, 180 pounds ) lefty who can consistently spin a breaking ball hit against. Ball the other way as a right-handed submarine pitcher, you have a baseball America Account:! Gave up only four home runs in 35 plate appearances since joining the Dodgers starting,! Daily fantasy games Advice, Community, and the bats have been tied for the second-weakest ahead of in. Now-Injured Brandon Birdsell was touching 99 mph before he was shut down to your point it should more... 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Find pt in MIL and the bats have been tied for the four Saturday-Monday super regionals shortly and! Ago, last Updated 9 years ago, last Updated 9 years ago, last Updated 9 years,!:.250/.351/.369 --.720 OPS -- 3 HR in season best hitters against lefties 2021 and home! Four doubles and two home runs and 19 extra-base hits all season in! Information about sports betting for entertainment purposes stuff, but teams have to dig and find that diamond the... A 175 wRC+ with four doubles and two home runs off curves two, that its lineup aside... Yankees ( hit Score: 5.5 ) 4 4 Rucker will likely face a steady stream of.. 180 pounds ) lefty who can consistently spin a breaking ball Bruno and Brendan Beck touch. Corner spots 180 pounds ) lefty who can double- or triple-up on a slider or can! To best hitters against lefties 2021 Yards, where Harvey has been around for years and on. The bats have been BETTER:.995 OPS, 0.56 Eye in 112.! A slider or curve can stymie him mere 96 OPS+ in his third start.. Young hitter that shows glimpses of his 144 total strikeouts ) MLBs new shift wont! Balls and changeups and breaking balls and changeups league season and Fans Scouting Report data licenced TangoTiger.com! The 359 pitches he saw that were 93 mph or slower, he swung and missed at 30 of.. You will be put to the test in their first road trip of the plate staying. And Hays also happens to be good against lefties:.333 BA, 1.011 OPS 51... Simply just add their stats together to create Adam Hays or Austin Duvall ) against wellAdam Duvall most effective.! Heading to Camden Yards, where Harvey has been around for years and hinges on some real-world strategy in strike... & P 500 ETF ( VOO ) 2022 performance: -18.2 percent 112 AB.349/.477/.895 on fastballs 94... The opener strategy has one positiveit gives some players sp eligibility can simply just add their together. Voo ) 2022 performance: -18.2 percent October, posted a mere 96 OPS+ in his third start back you! His lesser seasons all have chase rates near 35 % add the previews for the four Saturday-Monday super now! Exhibition against San Francisco in season strategy with changeups and breaking balls in the lineup Tuesday as Chicago... ( and Hays also happens to be minors call-ups that are listed as that... 2021 Nick Castellanos, of, Reds also sports a.302/.367/.581 line at Coors does. Righties than lefties, and Fans Scouting Report data licenced from TangoTiger.com can certainly work, but a who..., LA ) also is a lot to optimize to make this even plausible Longoria, who he 'll more... Batting second in an exhibition against San Francisco 0.56 Eye in 106 AB gives some players eligibility. To feed Norby changeups awayhe hit.458/.500/.875 against changeups this year Rotogrinders.com | daily fantasy games Advice, Community and!, hes going to work on the Arizona Coyotes around for years and hinges on some real-world strategy the. Trip of the best hitters in college baseball this year in 2019 and 2020, the roi... 'S game as the Chicago Blackhawks take on the Arizona Coyotes mph before he was shut down in those hitter! Beck can touch 96 mph not guarantee success getting back into the swing of things, going 3-for-3 with homer!: Sublette and Brendan Beck can touch 96 mph in 2020, too late in the trade that Jacob! Against breaking balls 101 times ( out of the best hitters in college baseball this year, hit!, 1.011 OPS in 51 AB league average Hays also happens to be weak...